Why bet?

In brief: I just don't believe in the very existence of the Higgs. And I am curious if the > 3 billion Euros spent for the Large Hadron Collider at CERN will lead to something really exciting or, instead, another giant toy will have been built because there was a lack of good ideas in theoretical physics.

This is a controversial issue which may be discussed for month. In such cases, the German philosopher Immanuel Kant recommended a bet. The bet, he said, distinguishes naturally between conviction and simple opinion.

Thus, if you have confidence in the majority of physicists, or if you consider yourself an expert with inside information, take the oportunity and bet for the discovery. See My $100 offer and Place your bet.

By the way, the Higgs boson is almost the only serious prediction for the Large Hadron Collider – for other stuff like mini black holes nobody would risk a cent. However, you may bet on the detection of a supersymmetric particle here.